US: News Interest (Pew 3/26-29)

March 31st, 2010 by Quiz Master

by Emily Swanson

Pew Research Center
3/26-29/10; 1,018 adults, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Pew release)

National

Most Closely Followed Story
66% Debate over health care reform
5% Vandalism and threats directed at Democrats who voted for health care reform
4% Reports about the Vatican's handling of sex-abuse scandals in the Catholic Church
4% Reports about tensions between Israel and the United States
3% Recent ups and downs in the stock market
1% Google's decision to stop using servers in China to avoid government censorship

How well do you feel you understand how the new health care reform law will affect you and your family?
18% Very well
37% Somewhat well
21% Not too well
23% Not at all well

We're interested in how people are learning about what's in the health care reform law and how it will affect people. Have you gotten information about the health reform law from each of the following, or not?
The news media: 81% Yes, 19% No
Family and Friends: 46% Yes, 54% No
Your Employer: 7% Yes, 92% No
Your Church or Religious Community: 7% Yes, 93% No

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ID: 2010 Sen, Gov (Rasmussen 3/23)

March 31st, 2010 by Quiz Master

by Emily Swanson

Rasmussen
3/23/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen: Senate, Governor)

Idaho

2010 Governor
60% Otter(R), 28% Allred (D)

2010 Senate
60% Crapo (R), 28% Generic Democrat

Favorable / Unfavorable
Butch Otter: 62 / 35
Keith Allred: 34 / 34
Mike Crapo: 63 / 28

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 30 / 70
Gov. Otter: 60 / 37

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Ignore Polls Not People ‘Outliers’

March 31st, 2010 by Quiz Master

by Emily Swanson

Tom Edsall considers the political implications of the shifts in American "have" and "have not"coalitions.

Stan Greenberg says 2010 looks like 1994...for now (more here and here, poll here).

Chris Bowers notes that the national House ballot question remains stable, despite a shift to registered voter samples.

David Krane asks what would happen if the 2012 election were held today.

John Sides argues
the "important" events in 2008 weren't actually that important.

Jon Cohen revisits recent polling on offshore drilling.

David Hill favors a less-is-more mindset in Congress.

Mark Mellman finds robust support for financial reform.

Kevin Drum says issue polling means little when Americans haven't formed opinions on the issue yet (via Sullivan).

National Media finds sports viewers skew Republican.

Bob Groves wins over critics.

Nate Silver finds no evidence that red states are falling behind on census participation.

And the Census shows up in unexpected places.

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AL: 2010 Gov (PPP 3/27-29)

March 31st, 2010 by Quiz Master

by Emily Swanson

Public Policy Polling (D)
3/27-29/10; 1,270 likely voters, 2.8% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)

Alabama

2010 Governor
48% Byrne (R), 32% Davis (D)
44% Ivey (R), 33% Davis (D)
42% James (R), 33% Davis (D)
43% Moore (R), 37% Davis (D)
43% Byrne (R), 30% Sparks (D)
39% Ivey (R), 33% Sparks (D)
38% James (R), 33% Sparks (D)
42% Moore (R), 37% Sparks (D)

Job Approval / Disapproval
Gov. Riley: 36 / 50

Favorable / Unfavorable
Bradley Byrne: 18 / 18
Artur Davis: 20 / 35
Kay Ivey: 19 / 26
Tim James: 14 / 24
Roy Moore: 33 / 34
Ron Sparks: 20 / 20

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MO: 2010 Sen Primary (PPP 3/27-29)

March 31st, 2010 by Quiz Master

by Emily Swanson

Public Policy POlling (D)
3/27-19/10; 400 likely Republican primary voters, 4.9% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)

Missouri

2010 Senate: Republican Primary
48% Blunt, 18% Purgason (chart)

2012 President: Republican Primary
32% Huckabee, 28% Palin, 22% Romney

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